Beyond One-Size-Fits-All: How Risk-Adjusted Adherence Models Are Reshaping Pharmacy Quality
June 15, 2026
Medication adherence measurement is evolving, and so must the strategies health plans use to address it. CMS, in partnership with PQA, is implementing risk adjustment for the three PDC adherence Star measures (diabetes, hypertension, and cholesterol), using five sociodemographic factors (age, gender, dual eligibility, LIS status, and disability) to level the playing field for plans serving more vulnerable populations. The methodology compares a plan's observed adherence rate against a statistically modeled expected rate, anchored to a contract-type benchmark, so performance reflects care quality rather than member complexity. Alongside risk adjustment, stratification gives plans visibility into exactly where adherence gaps exist across subpopulations. Together, these tools point toward a clear operational shift: away from uniform outreach and toward barrier-resolution strategies that match interventions to the social determinants actually driving missed refills. With adherence returning to triple weighting in Rating Year 2029, plans that build equity-driven, risk-aligned outreach strategies now will be the ones best positioned to perform.
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